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Forecasters are calling for yet another winter storm to hit Columbus today, with total expected accumulation of another 8 inches of snow.  From this morning’s stroll it appears that the leading edge of the storm is already here, with a brisk wind flinging little icy bullets against the intrepid walker.  So, we will batten down the hatches, leave for work a little earlier, and drive a little slower today.

As a former D.C. resident who remembers how the Nation’s Capital freaked out over even a few inches of snow during the early ’80s, I’ve been wondering about how D.C. residents are dealing with the aftermath of the historic storm that dumped some 30 inches of snow on the area last weekend.  It sounds like some things haven’t changed; I’ve heard a few news reports of worried residents binge-buying milk, bread, eggs and bottled water from local grocery stores upon reports of this new storm approaching.  So, no matter what happens, they’ll be able to enjoy a hearty brunch.

Commercial Duds

Last night was the first time in years that I have watched the Super Bowl from beginning to end.  I thought the game itself was exciting — although I was sorry that the Colts lost — but the rest of it left me cold.  I like The Who, but they now seem like entertainment for older generations.  I thought they were an odd choice for the 2010 Super Bowl, and I wondered how many viewers had even heard of The Who.  Does the Super Bowl audience have an older demographic?  It would be like Al Jolson performing at Super Bowl I.

The much-hyped commercials, for the most part, seemed like miserable failures.  The Doritos commercials were stunningly unfunny, and the screaming Denny’s chickens were more disturbing than anything else.  And how long are we going to have to watch talking babies?  Virtually every commercial seemed recycled.

Maybe it is a good thing that the football game itself outshone the glitz and commercial trappings.

It’s because the Cleveland Browns have never made it.  And it seems like every year the field of futility — that is, the teams that have never made it — gets smaller and smaller.  This year, the New Orleans Saints get off the schneid, and the Browns are left behind again.

I remember the first Super Bowl.  I lived in Akron and was 10 years old, for God’s sake!  The Beacon Journal had special story about the game and Len Dawson and Mike Garrett, the Kansas City Chiefs star players.  At that time, people wondered whether the Super Bowl would even be played again — much less that it would become an enormous media event that would draw huge TV audiences and generate massive ad revenue.

Every year, when the Super Bowl rolls around and the Browns aren’t in it, the sharp-edged Roman numerals are like a knife to the ribs.  I think of how the Browns lost to the Vikings and the Colts in back-to-back NFL championship games in the late ’60s, of how Brian Sipe threw the Red Right 88 interception on a cold day at Municipal Stadium, and particularly of how John Elway and the Broncos gouged the heart out of the Cleveland faithful in the back-to-back championship games that will forever be recalled simply as The Drive and The Fumble.

I hope the Colts win today, because I have good friends who are Colts fans.  Mostly, though, I hope that next year the Browns will somehow, some way, make it to the Super Bowl, and the shame and ignominy of the franchise’s (virtually) singular failure will end.

New Albany, Under Snow

Today is another bright, sunny day.  After I finished shoveling a path to our front door, Kish and I took Penny for a walk.

We struck out for the Yantis Loop.  We found that the leisure path is completely snow covered, and the top of the snow has hardened to a crunchy shell.  Penny enjoys crashing around through it, but it is hard slogging for us two-legged creatures.  Kish and I decided that the better part of valor would be to stick to the roadways, which were passable for walkers.

The neighborhood is very pretty under snow.  Ashton Grove, in particular, looks like a New England town — which is the whole idea, I suppose.

A Hot Topic (Cont.)

Here’s an article that summarizes some of the latest embarrassing revelations about “global warming” science.  I obviously don’t think the entire notion of man-made global warming has been shown to be a house of cards, but the seemingly unending disclosures about sloppy science, phony claims, conflicts of interest, and other chicanery clearly have undercut the political argument that the United States needs to take immediate, drastic action to stop global warming.  If the disclosures have put “cap and trade” legislation on the back burner, and will allow Congress instead to focus on budget issues and taking action that will allow our economy to create jobs, they will have served a very useful purpose.

A Hot Topic (Cont.)

A Hot Topic (Cont.)

A Hot Topic (Cont.)

A Hot Topic (Cont.)

A Hot Topic (Cont.)

A Hot Topic

Blue skies over New Albany

Blue skies have finally arrived over New Albany, and the snowfall has stopped.  That can mean only one thing:  time to shovel the driveway and help the neighbor dig his car out and give it a shove as he guns it up his driveway and into his garage.

The blue skies and sunshine, though, make the snowy environs even more striking.  The shrubs surrounding our house are completely buried under the blanket of snow, and the small ornamental trees have their branches dipped low, heavy with snow and ice.  The sunshine bathes the white landscape, highlighting the different shades of white and glinting off individual bits of ice encasing tree limbs.  The soft blue background and fleecy clouds add warmth to the scene.  An occasional gust of breeze causes bits of snow to drop from the trees, as if they are shaking themselves off like a wet dog.

The picturesque surroundings make the snow shoveling a bit more palatable.  Still, the snow is awfully deep, heavy, and wet.  Good packing snow, well suited for a snowman, a snow fort, or a snowball fight.

I think the estimate of about a foot of snow is pretty accurate.  The sounds of snow shovels scraping asphalt and concrete, followed by the thump of wet snow being added to growing piles next to driveways, fill the neighborhood.  Dogs are out and exploring, their invisible fences disabled by the storm.

No snowplows have visited our neighborhood yet.

The President recently released his budget proposal for 2010.  It is a complex, difficult proposal to grasp, contemplating trillions of dollars in spending and trillion-dollar deficits extending, unbroken, into the foreseeable future.

One of the problems for American taxpayers is that the federal government is so large, so sprawling, and so unwieldy that it is virtually impossible to be an informed citizen.  There are too many agencies performing too many functions and producing too much information.  The recent Toyota safety problems, however, have brought NHTSA — the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration — into focus for me.  I therefore thought that NHTSA might be a good candidate for a closer look at the federal budget, on an individual agency level.

NHTSA is a federal agency that focuses on motor vehicle safety.  Its NHTSA Fiscal Year 2010 Budget Overview, in PDF form, is available here.  The Budget Overview indicates that the total proposed budget would be $867 million, of which $237 million would go to Operations and Research, $4 million would go for the National Driver Register, and the lion’s share — $626 million — would go to National Traffic Safety Grants.  In short, more than 70 percent of NHTSA’s budget doesn’t go to figuring out problems like those that have led to the Toyota recalls.  Instead, it serves as a fund transfer mechanism, where money comes in from the federal taxpayers and then is doled out to states and municipalities through grants.

For purposes of this posting I am going to assume that every cent allocated for Operations and Research and the National Driver Register is used for important federal government purposes.  (This is undoubtedly a generous assumption, because $96 million of the funds budgeted for Operations and Research and the National Driver Register are identified, in Exhibit II-2 of the Budget Overview, as being for “administrative expenses.”)  What about the grants, though?

It turns out that there are eight different grant programs, as well as administrative expenses for these programs, which in 2010 is budgeted for $25 million.  To get more information about the grant programs, you need to go to the NHTSA Fiscal Year 2010 Budget Estimates, which also are available in PDF form here.  According to page 48 of the document, some of the programs are designed to “encourage States to increase seat belt usage” and “child safety seat and child restraint programs.”  These programs include the Seat Belt Performance Grant Program, which is budgeted for $124.5 million, the Occupant Protection Incentive Grants, which is budgeted for $25 million, and the Child Safety and Booster Seat Grants, which is budgeted for $7 million.  In all, more than $150 million in grants go for seat belt-type programs.

Another $139 million is budgeted for Alcohol Incentive Formula Grants, which are designed, according to page 48 of the PDF’d document, to “to encourage States to adopt incentive grants to states for the implementation of effective programs to reduce impaired driving and its tragic consequences.”  The largest grant program, the Section 402 Formula Grants budgeted at $235 million, is intended, also according to page 48, to “support State highway safety programs designed to reduce traffic crashes and resulting deaths, injuries, and property damage,” and under that program “[a] State may use these grant funds only for highway safety purposes; at least 40 percent of these funds are to be expended by political subdivisions (i.e. communities) within the State.”

When you get to the listing of “Anticipated FY 2009 Accomplishments” for the NHTSA grant programs, at pages 51 and 52 of the PDF’d document, you see things like placing a “national media buy” for the “Click It or Ticket” seat belt program and the “Drunk Driving.  Over The Limit.  Under Arrest” program and the participation of all 50 States in those programs.

These NHTSA grant programs help to explain why cutting the federal budget seems to be so difficult for Members of Congress.  One could legitimately conclude that the federal government doesn’t really need to encourage States to have safer roads; one would think the States themselves could and would conclude that is an important goal.  One also could conclude that people really don’t need to be reminded to wear seat belts or that drunk driving is illegal and will be punished.  If individual States or local governments are having significant problems with drunk driving, for example, they can develop and fund their own programs, targeted specifically at the problem areas.

These NHTSA grant programs cost more than half a billion dollars, including the $25 million in administrative costs at the federal government end.  (There also will be costs, of course, at the state and local government end, as those entities hire government workers to design programs that comply with federal regulations, make grant applications, and then themselves administer whatever funds are received from the federal government.)  Yet if Members of Congress voted to eliminate these programs, in order to realize some significant savings, during their next campaign they risk being on the receiving end of attack ads that use those votes to argue that they are in favor of drunk driving, or against seat belt use or children using child restraint seats.  The malign images of those potential ads probably flash through their minds when the budget is discussed, and they take the path of least resistance and vote against any cuts in the grant programs.  The end result is that nothing gets done, federal spending never decreases, and our budget deficit and national debt holes get deeper.

No one supports drunk driving, unsafe roads, or reckless child-rearing activities.  But if we are going to get our federal budget under control, hard choices have to be made.  I think a good start would be to get the federal government out of the grant-making and TV ad-buying game and let States and local governments make their own decisions about how best to enforce existing laws on traffic safety, seat belt use, and punishing drunk driving.  $626 million in savings may not seem like a lot of money — at least, not to a Member of Congress faced with trillions in federal spending — but it is a start, and every little bit of savings is needed if we are going to turn around our deeply troubling budget predicament.

World Of White

The view from our front doorstep at 7:30 a.m.

A few snowflakes continue to drift down, but the first day of the big storm is over, leaving behind a world of white.  We are guessing we received more than a foot of snow here in New Albany.

On the morning after a big overnight snowstorm, stepping outside becomes an eerie, monochromatic experience.  It is as if all color has been leached from the landscape, leaving behind only white and contrasting black.  White covers the roofs of neighboring houses, coats outdoor lamps, mailboxes, and tree limbs, and is piled precariously on the shrubs and tree limbs.  The sky itself is a flat, undifferentiated white, like a blank canvas that Russell has prepared but not yet touched with a brush.  It also is curiously quiet, with none of the road noises or other sounds you come to expect from your neighborhood.

One of the pine trees in our back yard

A walk around the yard means plenty of happy romping time for Penny, The Snow Dog, and also a chance to appreciate the rare beauty of snow on evergreen branches, many of which are bowed and heavy with snow.  It is a pleasant scene to watch from a window while drinking a hot cup of coffee.

The forecast is for more snow today.

The Big Snow

We’ve been hit by the latest winter “storm of the century,” and it has been an impressive storm indeed.  The snow started mid-morning, and it has been pelting down at a good clip since that time.

The view at about 5 p.m. today from our back door

It is a heavy, wet snow, with huge flakes, the kind that cling to tree limbs, eyeglasses, dog fur, and every other exposed surface.  I would expect that, before this storm is over, we are going to see tree limbs snap and power lines come down from the weight of the snow.  The accumulation has been rapid and significant.  I would estimate that, out in New Albany, we’ve gotten between four and six inches already, and it is still snowing hard.

On the drive home, the roads were passable — good job, Columbus road crews! — but they are rapidly growing worse.  I stopped at the store on the way home to stock up on essentials like wine and cheese, because it is going to be a good weekend to stay at home, looking out the window at the winter weather and being thankful that you are inside, warm, and well-fed.

Wolverines In Decline

The BBC reports that studies have indicated that populations of wolverines in North America are declining.  Wolverines are the largest members of the weasel family, live in remote northern areas, and eat the remains of large animals and smaller animals, like rats, that the wolverines hunt themselves.

The scientists quoted in the article link the decline in the wolverine population to diminished snowpacks in the wolverines’ natural habitats, which they surmise would reduce the food supply for wolverines.  The scientists apparently didn’t address the possibility that the carrion-consuming, rat-eating wolverines are dying of embarrassment because they are the unfortunate mascots of the recently underachieving University of Michigan sports teams.

2010 Oscar Picks

* = a movie I haven’t seen

Best Picture:

“Avatar”
“The Blind Side”
“District 9″*
“An Education”
“The Hurt Locker”
“Inglourious Basterds”
“Precious”
“A Serious Man”
“Up”
“Up in the Air”

“A Serious Man” tells the story of Larry Gopnik, a Jewish professor from the suburbs of Minneapolis in the 1960s who suffers a series of abrupt setbacks in his life: his wife leaves him for his best friend, his brother gets in trouble with the law, the possibility of him getting tenure becomes doubtful, and a failing student threatens him. The movie also follows his son, who is studying for his Bar Mitzvah and developing a taste for marijuana.

It’s directed by Joel and Ethan Coen, who made “Fargo”, “The Big Lebowski”, “No Country For Old Men”, “O Brother Where Art Thou”, and about a dozen other great movies. Like their other movies, “A Serious Man” has a dark sense of humor. The “best friend” who steals Gopnik’s wife insists on counseling him through his loss, embracing him whenever they meet. The look on Gopnik’s face during these hugs is funny and pathetic at the same time.

I’ve seen the movie twice. The first time, I realized there were deep themes behind the film, but I couldn’t grasp them. I thought about it a lot, then I saw it again. Then I thought about it again. It’s a complicated movie – one film critic said something like “it’s the kind of movie you get to make after you win an Oscar” (which the Coens got for “No Country for Old Men”). It has things to say about family, manhood, morality, and the pitfalls of life, as well as Jewish culture and the Jewish identity in America.

It doesn’t beat you over the head with an obvious message like “Avatar”, “The Blind Side”, “Precious” and “Up in the Air” (though all those except “The Blind Side” were good movies nonetheless). It’s not boring, though; I enjoyed seeing it a second time and I will probably watch it again. It’s like one of those deep, complicated books that’s entertaining at the same time.

Also – I can’t believe the schmaltzy feel-good race movie “The Blind Side” was nominated, but original, thoughtful movies like “The Messenger”, “Where the Wild Things Are”, “Crazy Heart”, and “The Road” were not.

Best Director:

Kathryn Bigelow – “The Hurt Locker”
James Cameron – “Avatar”
Lee Daniels – “Precious”
Jason Reitman – “Up in the Air”
Quentin Tarantino – “Inglourious Basterds”

“Avatar” may not be perfect, but it’s the most ground-breaking movie in terms of special effects I’ve seen in a long time, and I think most of that is due to Cameron’s direction. Cameron should get credit for being the first director to take full advantage of the 3-D medium, using it to bring me into a different world like no other movie has before.

Best Actor:

Jeff Bridges – “Crazy Heart”
George Clooney – “Up in the Air”
Colin Firth – “A Single Man”*
Morgan Freeman – “Invictus”
Jeremy Renner – “The Hurt Locker”

Bad Blake, the alcoholic country singer played by Jeff Bridges in “Crazy Heart”, is brilliant but immature and consumed with guilt. The character could have been a cliche, but Bridges makes him nuanced and believeable. He created probably the most memorable character I saw in the movies this year.

Best Actress:

Sandra Bullock – “The Blind Side”
Helen Mirren – “The Last Station”*
Carey Mulligan – “An Education”
Gabourey Sidibe – “Precious”
Meryl Streep – “Julie and Julia”*

I watched “An Education” a few nights ago because I thought I should see as many Oscar-nominated movies as I could before I offerred my verdict in this blog post. The trailer for the film didn’t appeal to me much but I was surprised to find that I liked the movie a lot, especially Carey Mulligan’s performance as the intelligent but naive Jenny Miller.

Best Supporting Actor:

Matt Damon – “Invictus”
Woody Harrelson – “The Messenger”
Christopher Plummer – “The Last Station”*
Stanley Tucci – “The Lovely Bones”*
Christopher Waltz – “Inglourious Basterds”

I invited my friend to see “The Messenger” with me because he is a big Woody Harrelson fan. I think he expected a comedic Woody Harrelson performance, like in “Kingpin.” There was some of that, like when he woke up hungover and mumbled “I need to call my sponsor.” But Harrelson also gave a great dramatic performance as an alcoholic Gulf War veteran who at first regrets not having seen combat, but changes his mind after getting to know his colleague, an Iraq War veteran who has seen too much of it.

Best Supporting Actress:

Penelope Cruz – “Nine”*
Vera Farmiga – “Up in the Air”
Maggie Gyllenhaal – “Crazy Heart”
Anna Kendrick – “Up in the Air”
Mo’nique – “Precious”

I didn’t know Mo’nique was such a good actress. I thought she was just a vulgar comedian. She played a cruel, miserable mother, but I, unlike the women I saw the movie with, ended up sympathizing with her (a little bit) at the end.

Weird App

This BBC story caught my eye — about an iPhone app that consists of video and audio of speeches and statements by Benito Mussolini, the former Fascist dictator of Italy who was Hitler’s Axis ally during World War II.  According to the story, it was the most popular iPhone download in Italy until it was removed from the market in the face of threats of legal action.

Groups have expressed concern that the popularity of the Il Duce app might presage a resurgence of the Fascist movement in Italy.  I suppose that is possible, but I think it is equally plausible that young people just downloaded it because it is new, shocking, and a bit of a razz to watch black and white footage and listen to speeches of the comically strutting ex-dictator with the out-thrust jaw.  I’m not an iPhone owner, but my perception is that many people with iPhones seem obsessed with “apps” and showing everyone what unusual “apps” they have.  The Mussolini app may just feed into that obsession.

Still, it’s weird.  In America, are there “apps” for offensive speeches by the likes of Joe McCarthy and George Wallace?

A Slow Start On 24

We’ve gone through the first few hours of the new season of 24, and I have to say I’m very ho-hum about it so far.  CTU is back in business, the earnest President is engaged in some high-level  activity, Jack Bauer is on the trail of terrorists who are threatening our national security, Chloe O’Brien is scowling at everyone, and no doubt there is some deeply rooted conspiracy messing around somewhere.  The problem is, it just all seems so familiar.

On 24, there’s always some gang of international bad guys — one year it was Mexicans, another year Middle Eastern, last year it was Africans, and this year it is Russians.  CTU’s security, as usual, is abysmal.  CTU’s offices have been bombed, gassed, and routinely infiltrated over the years.  This year some ex-felon with a fake name and identity has managed to rise to some high-level position, where she is being easily blackmailed into aiding and abetting criminal acts by an ex-boyfriend who has simply threatened to expose her deep, dark past.  I don’t think she’s the kind of resolute person you’d want in the foxhole with you.  As seems to be true every year, we have a new tactical squad guy, a new techie guy, and a new CTU head; we don’t really know enough about them to care much.  Former FBI agent Renee “Freckle Face” Walker has returned from last season, but she has been badly traumatized and is now a robotic character with a death wish who doesn’t blink when she saws off the thumb of a nameless bad guy.  The normal complement of random 24 characters have been quickly introduced and then just as quickly knocked off.

I hate to say it, but it’s been kind of dullsville.  In one recent episode, I actually dozed off, probably during one of the too-frequent turgid scenes where the blonde CTU analyst who wears miniskirts to the office was being threatened by her evil ex-boyfriend. It makes me yawn just to think about it.

The season is still young, so maybe there’s hope.  On a fast-paced show like 24, clunker plots can be speedily pitched and replaced by something more interesting.  The return of the sniveling ex-President Logan, maybe?  Jack haunted by the ghost of David Palmer?  We’ll keep our fingers crossed.

The New York Times has an interesting webpage on President Obama’s budget proposal.  It gives a good, quick depiction of how you end up with a budget that contemplates spending $3.8 trillion.

I repeat:  $3.8 trillion!

I know that the President and his aides have been talking a lot about fiscal discipline, making hard choices, and the need to reduce deficits.  However, his actions in submitting a bloated budget that is so out of balance, which contemplates staggering deficits extending for the next ten years, speak louder than his words.  His budget proposal says that our President is no deficit hawk, and he clearly is not serious about reducing deficit spending.

I enjoyed Richard’s post on Bill Watterson, and it reminded me of how much I miss the comics pages from the late ’80s and early ’90s.  At that time, there were three comic strips that were must reading:  Calvin & Hobbes, The Far Side, and Dilbert.  All were radical departures from the popular comic strips of the ’60s and ’70s, strips like Blondie and Peanuts. Unlike the standard strips, Calvin & Hobbes, The Far Side, and Dilbert often involved bizarre situations, distorted realities, and plots that assumed that the reader was reasonably intelligent and well educated.  Perhaps for that same reason, unlike the standard strips, Calvin & Hobbes, The Far Side, and Dilbert were consistently hilarious.

These three strips hold up remarkably well.  At home we’ve got “treasury” collections of each, and they remain a pleasure to read even today, decades after the strips were first published.  And they also pass the true comic strip acid test:  stroll among the cubicles in any office building, and you are sure to see Calvin & Hobbes, Dilbert, and The Far Side strips tacked onto cubicle walls or slid under glass desk tops, there to forever brighten the days of white-collar workers.

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